ANALYSIS – After the failure of the counter-offensive, the West is wondering how to help kyiv in the long term.
What if Ukraine loses the war against Russia? The question is taboo among the Ukrainians and their Western allies because it is fraught with consequences. But after twenty-one months of war, while the military fronts have been frozen since the failure of the counter-offensive, some are discreetly asking the question. We’re not there yet. But for several weeks, bad news has been piling up regarding Ukraine, against which all the dark winds of politics and diplomacy are beginning to blow.
On the military field, first, where stagnation did not wait for the return of the autumn mud and the cold of winter to settle in and freeze initiatives. Some had believed to see in the social and political crises which shook the Kremlin during the year a possible collapse of the Russian army in the medium term. This hope has since been banished. “The Europeans underestimated the military capabilities of the Russians” sums up Alyona…
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